Saturday, August 19, 2017

August 19, 2017 at 07:42PM

Friday, August 18, 2017

August 18, 2017 at 09:46PM

RAINS TO COMEBACK IN COUNTRY AFTER A BREAK [WITH HINDI/हिंदी UPDATE]

After giving flooding rains over Gujarat & Rajasthan monsoon  gone on holiday for quite sometime as Monsoon axis shifts over Foothills creating flooding in Bihar & NE india while lul in Most parts of Central, west & Northwest india. Due to long break Bangalore & chennai get major share of rains both cities recorded heavy rains during last few days but likely to decrease significantly. Now rains are all set to comeback over interiors of country which is much needed.    The axis of monsoon trough at mean sea level continues to pass through Amritsar, Ambala, Budaun, Sidhi, Jharsugda, centre of low pressure area and hence southeastwards
to eastcentral Bay of Bengal.
  The low pressure area over northwest Bay of Bengal and adjoining coastal Odisha
persists. Associated upper air cyclonic circulation extending upto 9.5 km above mean sea
level tilts southwestwards with height also persists.
Monsoon axis likely to shift southwards further due to which rains may occur over DelhiNcr, Punjab, Haryana & NW UP on Saturday & Sunday but no major rains expected as on now, on & off rains will continue next week. Low pressure area will give Heavy rains over Telangana, North Andhra pradesh, vidarbha, SW Madhya Pradesh, South CG & Odisha, while moderate over Marathwada tommorow i.e 19 August. From 20 August Rains will increase over Marthawada & Parts of Maharashtra & Madhya pradesh widespread heavy to very heavy rainfall may occur over region which may cause water logging and increase in water levels of canals/Rivers. By next week rains will shift to Gujarat & parts of south Rajasthan. Finally rains will comeback over needed areas of country, farmers & residents to get major relief.
================
BY: Navdeep Dahiya
(Founder/CEO LWI)
©LWI

HINDI/हिंदी UPDATE:-

लंबे विराम के बाद देश में वर्षा की वापसी

------------------------------
राजस्थान और गुजरात के भागों में भयंकर वर्षा करने के बाद मानसून मानो जैसे कहीं छुट्टियों पर निकल गया हो इसके पीछे का मुख्य कारण मानसूनी गर्त का भारत के तराई क्षेत्रों की ओर चले जाना है ।यह गर्त तराई क्षेत्रों से बिहार और उत्तर पूर्वी भारत पर बनी हुई थी जिसके कारण इन क्षेत्रों में भारी से बहुत भारी बारिश दर्ज की गई है तो वहीं दूसरी तरफ मध्य, पश्चिमी और उत्तर - पश्चिमी भारत के अधिकतर क्षेत्रों में मानसून की चाल सुस्त पड़ गई और मुख्यत: यहां का मौसम शुष्क और उमस भरा बना रहा।
 बेंगलुरु और चेन्नई में लंबे अंतराल के बाद भारी वर्षा तो दर्ज की गई परंतु यह अब ज्यादा दिनों तक जारी नहीं रहेगी और इसमें अचानक कमी आने के आसार है । हालांकि अब लंबे अंतराल के बाद मानसूनी वर्षा देश के अंदरूनी भागों में वापसी करने जा रही है जो इन क्षेत्रों में प्रायः​ बहुत जरूरी है। मानसूनी गर्त इस समय अमृतसर ,अंबाला, बुदाऊ ,सिद्धि ,झारसुगड़ा से होती हुई निम्न दबाव के क्षेत्र तक जा रही है और आगे मध्य- पूर्वी बंगाल की खाड़ी तक बनी हुई है। निम्न दबाव का क्षेत्र जो इस समय उत्तर - पश्चिमी बंगाल की खाड़ी और उससे सटे तटीय उड़ीसा के भागों पर स्थित है जिस से जुड़ा हुआ चक्रवाती हवाओं का क्षेत्र वातावरण में 9.5 किलोमीटर तक बना हुआ है जिसका झुकाव दक्षिणी - पश्चिम की तरफ है  तथा मानसूनी गर्त के भी दक्षिण में खिसकने के आसार है जिसके कारण दिल्ली- एनसीआर ,पंजाब ,हरियाणा और उत्तर -पश्चिमी उत्तर प्रदेश में शनिवार और रविवार को वर्षा का झोंका देखने को मिल सकता है किंतु इस समय इन क्षेत्रों में अच्छी बारिश की उम्मीद नहीं है हालांकि पार और बंद बारिश अगले हफ्ते तक जारी रहने के आसार है ।निम्न दबाव का क्षेत्र तेलंगाना, उत्तरी आंध्र प्रदेश , दक्षिणी- पश्चिमी मध्य प्रदेश, दक्षिणी छत्तीसगढ़ और उड़ीसा के भागों में भारी वर्षा तथा मध्यम वर्षा मराठवाड़ा के भागों में दे सकता है ।20 अगस्त से मराठवाडा, महाराष्ट्र और मध्य प्रदेश के अधिकतर भागों में भारी से बहुत भारी वर्षा का कारण बन सकता है जिसके कारण इन क्षेत्रों में जलजमाव की स्थिति से इंकार नहीं किया जा सकता ।बात करें अगले हफ्ते की तो बारिश का प्रसार गुजरात और उससे सटे राजस्थान के दक्षिणी इलाकों में जोड़ पकड़ेगा और आखिरकार इस तरह से बारिश एक बार फिर से लंबे अंतराल के बाद देश में वापसी करेगी और किसानों और यहां के लोगों के लिए जो एक बड़ी राहत लेकर आ रही है।।

------------------------------
:- मोहित राठोर
   (Mohit Rathor)
  ~हिंदी मौसम पुर्वानुमान अध्यक्ष   एल . डब्ल्यू . आई
  (Chairperson <Hindi weather forecast> LWI)


Today, the low and its associated low,mid-level circulation is seen along Odisha coast. 
This circulation is expected to drift SW and then push inland along zones bordering Odisha and N Andhra in 24hrs. 

In next 24hrs, this Bay circulation is expected to drift into N Andhra and adjacent Telangana, E Maharastra and S chatisgarh. By 20/21-Aug, this circulation is expected to be over N,central Maharastra. 


This Bay circulation has already activated #monsoon along Kerala and S-coast Karnataka.

In next 36hrs, heavy widespread rain ahead for coast #Karnataka and #kerala. 
#ALERT widespread heavy rain are expected over #Telangana and N,NE Andhra, S Chatisgarh, SE,E Maharastra into NE Karnataka in next 36hrs.

For #Chennai and N,NE #Tamilnadu.. Yes, today as well there'll be "scattered" T showers after 5pm. 
Rain chance will get low from Saturday !
More moderate, scattered Rain ahead for #Bengaluru and suburbs on today and Saturday !
#Chennai got good widespread rain yesterday. Nungambakkam = 61.1 mm, Airport = 60.9, Redhills = 50, Chembarambakkam = 50, Polichalur 44.7mm. 
#Chennai lakes during past 5 days have responded to the T showers, especially RedHills and Chembarambakkam .. check this chart !! 

Thursday, August 17, 2017

August 17, 2017 at 11:53PM

August 17, 2017 at 06:36PM


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#Bengaluru heavy rain during early hrs of Independence day !
Heaviest since 1890 !
Got 128mm ... ow.ly/38Z530etp8N


Bengaluru: Life limps back to normal following heavy rains, water logging 
http://indianexpress.com/article/india/life-limps-back-to-normalcy-following-heavy-rains-water-logging-in-bengaluru-4799161/

Bengaluru: Monday rain highest for August in 127 years
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bengaluru/12-8-cm-rain-batters-bengaluru-highest-for-august-in-127-years/articleshow/60079050.cms

Tuesday, August 15, 2017

August 15, 2017 at 10:17PM


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August 15, 2017 at 10:13PM


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August 15, 2017 at 10:06PM

Sunday, August 13, 2017

Friday, August 11, 2017

August 11, 2017 at 05:09PM

August 11, 2017 at 02:51PM

August 11, 2017 at 01:49PM


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August 11, 2017 at 01:45PM


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Thursday, August 10, 2017

August 10, 2017 at 05:44PM


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Tuesday, August 08, 2017

August 08, 2017 at 09:50AM


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Monday, August 07, 2017

August 07, 2017 at 08:47PM

August 07, 2017 at 04:47PM


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August 07, 2017 at 04:44PM


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Sunday, August 06, 2017

Friday, August 04, 2017

Monday, July 31, 2017

Friday, July 28, 2017

USUAL "MONSOON TROUGH"

SEA BREEZE FRONT _WIND SHEAR ZONE
Usually the 'Monsoon trough" will be seen in west coast-i,e in Arabian sea during any SWM period.  However during SWM-2017 close to East coast and / or inland a thin SEA BREEZE FRONT zone is often witnessed in BoB. It in afternoon moves from East to west. Later rain bands develops and like MJO it moves towards EAST. This  moving pulse moves from East interior place of TN to Coastal Tamil Nadu during afternoon and Night with gale winds and light to moderate rain (max:4-5 cm] with one or two spells.

July 28, 2017 at 07:51PM

July 28, 2017 at 07:34PM

July 28, 2017 at 06:55PM

Thursday, July 27, 2017

July 27, 2017 at 05:25PM


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July 27, 2017 at 05:18PM


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Wednesday, July 26, 2017

July 26, 2017 at 11:27PM

July 26, 2017 at 11:03PM

Strengthening of SWM 2017_27 JULY 2017

தென் மேற்கு பருவ மழைக்கு மூலம் எது என்றால் அது "மஸ்கிரின் ஹை" என்னும் உயர் காற்றழுத்த மண்டலம் . இன்றய தினம் இது 1032 ஹெக்டா பாஸ்கல் என்னும் அளவில் தெற்கே இந்திய பெருங்கடலில் 35 டிகிரி தெற்கு அட்ச ரேகை / 65 டிகிரி  கிழக்கு தீர்க்க  ரேகை அருகில் உளது. இதனால் கேரளம், கர்நாடக உள்பகுதி, தமிழக மேலை பகுதி இன்னும் 60 முதல் 72 மணி நேரத்திற்குள் மழை பெறும்
"மஸ்கிரின் ஹை" 26.07.2017 / 16 LT

Getting Lost in PURI , | VLOG 1 | INDIA | (Teaser )

In the city Of Temples by the shore of Bay of Bengal , the feel of Solitude amidst the escaping Crowd . We Bring You the Teaser off our First VLOG Series of this Season . 

Tuesday, July 25, 2017

July 25, 2017 at 03:14PM


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July 25, 2017 at 02:53PM


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July 25, 2017 at 02:51PM


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July 25, 2017 at 02:46PM


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Friday, July 21, 2017



Today again the entire monsoon axis up to the circulation present over SE Gujarat will get heavy widespread rains ...  
Present circulation over SE Gujarat is expected to drift NNE and push into W,NW Madhyapradesh and adjoining Rajasthan in 24hrs.
On 23rd / 24th this circulation may persist and push into #Delhi and adjoining zones. By that time the #monsoon axis will be dragged North.

During past 24hrs, Maharastra coast, #mumbai, SW,N,E Gujarat, S,SE Rajasthan and W,S,SE,SW Madhyapradesh witnessed HEAVY widespread rain.  
East India also experienced heavy widespread #monsoon rains during past 24hrs.


#ALERT
During next 30hrs.. HEAVY widespread rain ahead for Gujarat, S,SE Rajasthan and into NW,W Maharastra, W,SW,NW Madhyapradesh. 
More widespread heavy rain ahead for E,NE Madhyapradesh, S,E Uttarpradesh, Bihar, N Chatisgarh, Jharkhand and into Bengal in 30hrs.
Meanwhile, more heavy downpour expected ALL along Maharastra coast, Karnatak coast and N Kerala for next 2 days.

When the Gujarat circulation pushes North the Heavy rains will shift into North India around #Delhi from 23rd.


Wednesday, July 19, 2017

Wednesday, July 12, 2017

July 12, 2017 at 09:57AM


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July 12, 2017 at 09:56AM


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July 12, 2017 at 09:53AM


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Wednesday, July 05, 2017

July 05, 2017 at 04:21PM

July 05, 2017 at 03:01PM


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July 05, 2017 at 02:49PM


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July 05, 2017 at 02:44PM


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Monday, July 03, 2017

July 03, 2017 at 05:37PM


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Sunday, July 02, 2017

Rainfall distribution for Tamilnadu and puducherry of Southwest monsoon 2017 - June

Districtwise seasonal rainfall distribution for Tamil Nadu & Puducherry Southwest monsoon 2017 - June:

Sivaganga tops the list with +205% from normal rainfall
(Actual: 127.7mm, Normal: 41.9mm)

Toothukudi is the lowest of the list with -83% from normal rainfall though june Normal rainfall is just 7.2mm, it was difficult to attain that too (Actual: 1.2mm, Normal: 7.2mm)

Salem, Dharmapuri, Krishnagiri districts were top hitters during pre monsoon rainfall season, but SWM 2017 june they ended up in large deficient. Dharmapuri -70% from normall Rainfall, Krishnagiri -66% from normal rainfall, Salem -62% from normal rainfall. thinks will improve in july.

Chennai reached "Normal" rainfall category in june month. +15% from Normal rainfall. (Actual: 58.5mm, Normal:64.1mm)

Rainfall activity will improve from Monday over interior and coastal tamilnadu. we depend on convective rains.
#TamilNadu

Thursday, June 29, 2017

June 29, 2017 at 06:55PM

June 29, 2017 at 05:22PM


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Wednesday, June 28, 2017

June 28, 2017 at 04:57PM


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June 28, 2017 at 04:53PM


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June 28, 2017 at 04:49PM


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Tuesday, June 27, 2017

June 27, 2017 at 02:56PM


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June 27, 2017 at 01:57PM


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June 27, 2017 at 01:48PM


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June 27, 2017 at 01:40PM


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Friday, June 23, 2017

June 23, 2017 at 09:33PM


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June 23, 2017 at 09:28PM


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June 23, 2017 at 09:35AM

Wednesday, June 21, 2017

Friday, June 16, 2017

June 16, 2017 at 06:40PM

June 16, 2017 at 04:51PM


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June 16, 2017 at 04:48PM


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June 16, 2017 at 10:57AM

Wednesday, June 14, 2017

June 14, 2017 at 01:40PM


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June 14, 2017 at 01:38PM


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June 14, 2017 at 01:36PM


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June 14, 2017 at 01:28PM


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June 14, 2017 at 01:22PM


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June 14, 2017 at 01:17PM


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June 14, 2017 at 12:21PM


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Tuesday, June 13, 2017

Monday, June 12, 2017

June 12, 2017 at 03:08PM


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June 12, 2017 at 02:59PM


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June 12, 2017 at 02:17PM


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Sunday, June 11, 2017

Friday, June 09, 2017



Bay wing of SW #monsoon is active with a low,mid-level circulation over N Bay ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vEl2w.gif 
Due to active Bay, SW #monsoon along SW coast of #India has progressed North upto Goa, N-coast Karnataka ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vElPH.gif 

Present N,N-central Bay circulation is expected to persist, drift North and push into S Bangladesh on Sunday, 11-Jun ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vEmtB.gif 
During next 5 days, Along with Northward movement of Bay circulation the monsoon along SW coast of India is also expected to progress north.

#Monsoon for #Mumbai is expected on 14/15-Jun as of latest GFS model... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vEna1.gif 
Meanwhile, More moderate scattered rain will be over #Mumbai zone during next 2 days.
Past 24hrs it has recorded 27mm.

#Goa and entire #Karnataka coast is expected to get HEAVY rain during next 42 hrs ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vEnBB.jpg 
More scattered T showers expected over S,central,E Maharastra into Telangana and N,NE Andhra during next 40 hrs.

5:30pm, massive T showers seen over central,N,NW,E Maharastra, Telangana and Odisha ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vEooD.jpg

#Chennai - continues to have mild day and night.
Cloudy day expected on Saturday and Sunday.
T shower possible after 3pm into midnight

Monday, June 05, 2017

June 05, 2017 at 05:08PM

Monsoon to start shifting gears over South Peninsula in next 4 days


12:30pm, Rain seen along #kerala coast and clouding over N-central Arabian sea due to LOW "95A" ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vu62p.jpg 

N-central Arabian sea is having a low,mid-level circulation and its marked as 95A and now a Low pressure Area... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vu6j7.gif 


In next 2 days, GFS expects the 95A to drift towards Oman coast with no great intensification, But WRF model suggests an intensification ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vu6Vy.jpg 
https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vu6Wo.gif 


During next 2 days, the SW coast can see scattered heavy rain while 95A drifts West. Meanwhile in the Bay front of #monsoon, the Eastern end of central India East-West trough is expected to drop into North Bay ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vu7IA.gif 

GFS expects a circulation to pop over N,N-central,NW Bay on 8th / 9th-Jun and expected to drift W, WNW.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vu8tg.gif 
And this upcoming Bay circulation will activate #monsoon along Kerala and will help the Northerly push of monsoon along SW coast !

Next 2 days, scattered heavy rain for Kerala, Karnataka coast.
Heavy T showers for E Maharastra, Telangana, N Andhra, S Chatisgarh.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vu9iV.jpg 
Today again heavy T showers will pop over NW,central,S,SW Karnataka and into N,NW,N-central Tamilnadu.

#Chennai - 2pm, Airport 41 C and Nungambakkam 40.2 C.
Dry and becoming drier now!
Sea breeze just about to push in ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vu9Zk.jpg 
#Chennai - From today afternoon, evening, T shower possibility is always on the cards till Saturday.
Higher chance on 7,8,9-Jun !

June 05, 2017 at 07:16AM

Thursday, June 01, 2017

June 01, 2017 at 05:06PM


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Wednesday, May 31, 2017

TamilNadu: Pre-monsoon rainfall from 1st MAR-31st MAY. #Krishnagiri district tops the list by +88% from Normal RF. #Chennai been lowest -97% #TamilNadu

May 31, 2017 at 02:54PM


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May 31, 2017 at 02:45PM


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Tuesday, May 30, 2017

May 30, 2017 at 09:34PM


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Sunday, May 28, 2017

Saturday, May 27, 2017

May 27, 2017 at 12:28PM


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94B to develop into Cyclone and "delay" in Monsoon for Kerala !!



10:30am, 94B WML over central Bay is slowly consolidating and drifted NNW.


The northern limit of SW #monsoon can be seen here in this chart ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/vehMZ.gif 
94B is expected to become Depression in next 36hrs and continue to move North.
GFS expects it to develop into Cyclone on 30-May ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vehTU.jpg 


The timing of Bay Low 94B is perfect as far as #monsoon is concerned, Natural process is that the Bay LOW moving north will drag monsoon into S coast Kerala ! but, GFS is skeptical about this happening !! 
94B is expected to make landafall as a Cyclone over S Bangladesh on 30/31-May ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/vei4L.jpg 
By this time 31-May, #monsoon current at low-levels "can" make a pseudo entry/presence into S Kerala.
There'll not be good winds at 700hpa ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/original/veibR.gif 

On 31-May, the 200hpa Jet stream is expected to turn easterlies upto 12N latitude...  sign of #Monsoon ! ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/veiir.jpg 
Both ECMWF and GFS model expects a SE / central Arabian sea circulation on 2-Jun, this will make #monsoon to push into #Kerala on 2 or 3-Jun ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/veiwv.jpg 

Friday, May 26, 2017

May 26, 2017 at 03:42PM


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Thursday, May 25, 2017

May 25, 2017 at 05:00PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:52PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:42PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:36PM


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May 25, 2017 at 04:34PM


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May 25, 2017 at 10:01AM


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Wednesday, May 24, 2017

Tuesday, May 23, 2017

Bay has popped a circulation, now all eyes on Monsoon reaching Kerala coast

RT @ChocolateLavaC1: 
Delhi: At 29.4°C, city sees lowest maximum temperature in May in seven years  https://t.co/hCdCSv2D5D 

Yesterday, Bilaspur touches #omg 49.3 C .. and here are some above 45s ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v4YSl.jpg 

#Chennai - moderate heat Yesterday, Nungambakkam 36.2 C, Airport 38.3 C.
Today it's bit high so far .. Nungambakkam 37.6 C, Airport 40 C


During next 3 days, there's NO change expected in #heatwave conditions across central,E-central India, S,central,SE Peninsula ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v4ZO5.jpg 

#Chennai - During next 3 days, city will record temps around 38 C, while the W,SW,NW suburbs can have 1 or 2 C above it... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v50Ca.jpg

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Today again, LWD seen from NW Karantaka to NW Tamilnadu all along W-ghats and another from S Tamilnadu to SW Bengal along SE-coast India.. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v51oU.jpg 

#Monsoon has not propagated North during past 4 days.
Now, SSE Bay has popped an all important circulation ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v51Yv.jpg 
This Bay circulation is expected to slowly drift North into Bay and pulling Monsoon into Srilanka and then into S Kerala in coming days !! .. https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v58cE.jpg 

Both ECMWF and GFS does not expect a SE Arabian sea circulation till 30th, while the present Bay circulation is expected to move North ! GFS expects the Monsoon for S Kerala on 31-May.
ECMWF expects on 30-May for S Kerala... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v59js.jpg 

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Present trend of scattered T showers over N,N-central,NW,W,SW #Tamilnadu and all over #Kerala to continue for next 2 days ... https://d2jhuj1whasmze.cloudfront.net/photos/normal/v5abP.jpg 
Next 2 days, Scattered T showers also expected over W-ghats,S,SW Karnataka, #Bengaluru , NE Andhra, Odisha and into SW,W,central Bengal.